To consolidate, disseminate, and gather information concerning the 710 expansion into our San Rafael neighborhood and into our surrounding neighborhoods. If you have an item that you would like posted on this blog, please e-mail the item to Peggy Drouet at pdrouet@earthlink.net
By Matthew Hall and Jennifer Maas, February 25, 2016
Get ready to ride the rails on Friday, May 20.
Metro officially announced the opening day of the Expo
Line at a press conference in Downtown Los Angeles on Thursday afternoon
saying the line would be a boon to the region.
The $1.5-billion, 6.6-mile light-rail project from Culver
City to Santa Monica will have seven new stations: Palms,
Westwood/Rancho Park, Expo/Sepulveda, Expo/Bundy, 26th Street/Bergamot,
17th Street/Santa Monica College and Downtown Santa Monica.
The first phase of the Expo Line between downtown Los
Angeles and Culver City opened in 2012 and when the second phase opens,
train trips between downtown Santa Monica and downtown L.A. will take 46
minutes.
“Metro is in the midst of a region-wide transit
revolution,” said Los Angeles County Supervisor and Metro Board Chair
Mark Ridley-Thomas. “With two rail lines opening this spring and three
others under construction, as well as massive highway modernization
projects underway, we are easing congestion and changing commuting
patterns in all corners of the County.”
Local and Metro officials said the opening will be significant for commuters.
“With the Expo Line Phase 2 to Santa Monica, we have a
great example of how Metro is expanding and organizing our
transportation network to better serve our region and help ease
traffic,” said Metro CEO Phil Washington. “We can safely say that
without the taxpayer support of Measure R we would not be standing here
today. We’re proud of delivering another great project to help us in our
daily commutes.”
Mayor Tony Vazquez said he thought the Expo line could have the highest ridership in the county.
“When you think about it there are 250,000 [people] on any
given day in Santa Monica; cause we’re such a job center,” he said.
“And now with this, when you talk about [sic] we’re a heavy service
industry and most of those folks that work at the hotels they take the
bus or they are driving the biggest pollutants. Now we’ve got an
opportunity to actually put them on something that is going to be clean,
safe and on time. So I’m excited about it.”
City Hall is working on several Expo preparation projects and staff provided updates to Council on Feb. 23.
“I will say that there has been a lot of work that has
happened thus far,” said Debbie Lee
Communications & Public Affairs
Officer for the City of Santa Monica. “We’ve been working on this for
many, many years, and we’ve also been working very, very diligently
towards preparing as best we can for the arrival of the train.”
There are currently seven groups of city staff associated
with Expo, including public safety, first/last mile connection, traffic
circulation, maintenance/operations, maintenance yard/buffer park,
commuters/riders/outreach and launch/opening day.
Santa Monica Police Lieutenant Dave Hunscke said public
safety employees have been training for the last year. Firefighters and
police officers have incorporated train-specific incidents into their
education programs and local officials are partnering with regional
authorities to ensure safety.
“My experience with Metro and the Los Angeles County
Sheriffs Department has been outstanding to date and we really look
forward to working with them in the future,” he said.
Staff said the city has several transportation projects in
place to facilitate Expo ridership including the Breeze bikeshare,
rerouted bus lines, evening bus service and the future arrival of a
city-authorized carshare program.
Current traffic patterns, including restricted left turns
on Colorado, will remain in place when the train arrives. Testing of
trains will continue up to opening day with increasing frequency. Staff
said the final days of testing would have trains running on a regular
schedule.
Work at Buffer Park has begun thanks to the completion of
the adjacent expo maintenance facility. The property was recently
transferred from the construction authority to Metro and the park space
was handed over to the City. Minor preparation work has begun on the
site and staff said more significant work would begin in mid-March.
Naming of the park and the possible renaming of Stewart Street Park will
be before the Parks and Recreation Commission in March with the goal of
opening the new park in 2017.
Outreach efforts are ongoing for all elements of the Expo
with more than 65 safety presentations conducted in the last year. Staff
will ask council to approve a contract with a marketing company soon to
continue outreach efforts.
Santa Monica is planning celebratory events tied to Expo’s
opening. The city will host a formal ribbon cutting on opening day and
staff said they are working on an open streets event for sometime in
June.
After more than a month of state-ordered stasis, Seattle’s tunnel boring machine is moving forward again.
The Washington State Department of Transportation
on Tuesday allowed Seattle Tunnel Partners to start moving the Bertha
tunnel-boring machine forward another 160 feet, while the state closely
monitors the project.
Seattle Tunnel Partners Project Manager Chris Dixon, with the south entrance of the downtown tunnel behind him.
Under new rules,
the state is requiring STP to increase its quality controls. The
contractor must have people monitoring key positions in the tunnel
boring machine and provide daily updates.
Daily meetings reviewing progress are to include representatives from the department of transportation and the contractor.
After a series
of fits and starts for the boring machine – which was initially
scheduled to be done digging the Highway 99 tunnel to replace the
Alaskan Way Viaduct last year – Gov. Jay Insleeordered tunneling halted Jan. 14 after a sinkhole appeared near where the machine was burrowing.
While STP
quickly filled in the hole, state authorities were concerned enough to
order the contractor to stop the machine before it starts tunneling
under the Alaskan Way Viaduct, and then downtown Seattle.
The machine had started tunneling again Jan. 7,
after being stuck for more than two years underground just west of
Pioneer Square. STP had to rebuild the front end of the machine with new
bearings and bearing seals after the previous parts were damaged before
drilling could proceed.
If boring proceeds satisfactorily, STP will be allowed to continue boring another 100 feet to a planned maintenance stop.
There crews will perform final maintenance before the machine bores under the viaduct.
The intent of
the 1.7-mile tunnel, at 58 feet in diameter the largest in the world, is
to create a highway under Seattle to replace the elevated viaduct. When
completed, the tunnel will provide room for two lanes north and two
lanes south.
The aging
viaduct is considered seismically vulnerable, and the state chose the
tunnel option as a way to replace it without unduly disrupting viaduct
traffic during construction, and to connect Seattle’s waterfront to
downtown.
It's certainly an exciting time for fans of Los Angeles public transportation. The Measure R transit tax-fueled
expansion of Metro's rail lines is already giving more and more
Angelenos the ability to ditch their cars and zoom from neighborhood to
neighborhood by train, and Metro has many more plans to add new rail lines throughout the city over the next decade (with several underway already). But all that has eluded the city of West Hollywood. While some
Westside neighborhoods will soon see trains traverse their streets for the first time in decades, no future rail expansion plans come anywhere close to the little city.
WeHo tried to get an extension for themselves when Metro was
expanding westward, but the transit agency balked at the high cost.
Former LA Mayor Antonio Villaraigosa told WeHo officials to sit tight
then, because they were "next in line," but WeHo began to mobilize just in case that promise went unfulfilled.
In 2015, the West Hollywood City Council launched the West Hollywood Advocates for Metro Rail (aka WHAM)
as part of a campaign to win grassroots support for a Metro rail
extension into the city. To get a West Hollywood rail line off the
ground, WHAM needs Metro to include it as part of its Expenditure Plan
when LA votes on it in November. That means selling it to the public,
and quickly. WHAM volunteers have been getting the word out in WeHo, as
well as engaging neighborhoods that would eventually be connected by the
line. They've already gathered about 3,000 signatures from supporters of a WeHo rail extension, reports Los Angeles magazine.
WHAM wants Metro to expand the upcoming Crenshaw Line (already under construction) northward to West Hollywood, connecting the neighborhood not only to Metro's system, but also directly to LAX. A feasibility study
is needed to determine the exact route a train line would take to WeHo,
but WHAM is hoping for a route that spans from San Vincente to Santa
Monica Boulevard. The train would run completely underground, making
it's way through West Hollywood before connecting with the Red Line at
Hollywood and Highland.
On the fiscal side of things, the city council is still
grappling with how to cover the immense cost of this potential
project—expanding the Crenshaw Line to West Hollywood comes with a
pricetag of at least $4.5 billion. WeHo officials are currently mulling
the idea of a tax increase to raise revenue for the project.
WeHo Councilmember John Duran has a scheme to push Metro's hand
too. He wants to get a sales tax increase on the ballot by June to get
the jump on the Metro tax increase that's expected to be on LA's
November ballot. If WeHo passes a sales tax increase that pushes it
closer to California's cap of 10 percent, it would limit the amount of
tax revenue Metro could get from WeHo if their November ballot measure
passes.
Duran says a WeHo tax increase would make Metro more likely to
negotiate with West Hollywood over rail expansion in exchange for their
tax revenues. According to Duran, WeHo felt burned by the passage of
Measure R in 2008, which taxed West Hollywood like every other city in
the county, but did not provide them with any transit improvements.
Duran thinks WeHo's new tax plan would send a message to the county that
"we don’t want to be forgotten again."
Metro has been keeping tabs on WHAM's progress. Lisa Belsanti, WeHo communication manager and WHAM member, tells Los Angeles
mag that Metro officials have attended WHAM outreach events, and even
Metro Board Chair John Fasana has been spotted. WHAM could be a powerful
ally for Metro as they attempt to get Measure R's sequel passed in the
November election. If a WeHo transit line is in Metro's future plans,
WHAM says it will help campaign for the ballot initiative.
Eight-year SCAQMD board member and South Pasadena Councilman Michael
Cacciotti, 57, an advocate for clean fuels and reducing air emissions,
is being challenged by Rosemead Councilman Steven Ly.
The election of an eastern cities representative to the South Coast
Air Quality Management District governing board has become politically
charged, as environmentalists, pro-710 Freeway tunnel advocates and
business groups lobby for their candidate.
At stake is one seat on
the powerful, 13-member anti-smog board, whose makeup recently changed
when Santa Ana Mayor Miguel Pulido, a Democrat and friend of the
environment, was replaced by Lake Forest Councilman Dwight Robinson, a
Republican.
Environmental groups say regulated industries — oil
refineries, paint and coatings makers and utilities — that pollute the
air are trying to shape the board into a more business-friendly body and
soften regulations. They compare this move to the removal last week of Charles Lester,
executive director of the California Coastal Commission, who was viewed
as favorable to coastal protection versus overdevelopment. Lester was
fired by a vote of 7-5 in what some called “a coup” by certain board
members appointed by Gov. Jerry Brown, some of whom intimated the
commission held up development projects for years and trampled on
property rights.
For decades, businesses have argued the AQMD is too heavy handed,
while environmental groups say the agency does not go far enough to cut
smog. The four-county agency regulates emissions in Orange County and
the non-desert portions of Los Angeles, Riverside and San Bernardino
counties.
In the center of the AQMD controversy is eight-year
board member and South Pasadena Councilman Michael Cacciotti, an
advocate for clean fuels and reducing air emissions. Cacciotti, 57, an
attorney, is being challenged by Rosemead Councilman Steven Ly.
Ly is being supported by the 710 Coalition, made up of the cities
of Alhambra, Monterey Park, Rosemead, San Gabriel and San Marino, with
support from 15 other Los Angeles County cities, many of which will have
a vote in electing Cacciotti or Ly to a four-year term.
The pro-710 tunnel coalition objects to an AQMD critique of the 710 completion project that
would close the gap between Alhambra and Pasadena via a single or dual
tunnel running 4.5 miles. The letter was written by Ian MacMillan, the
AQMD’s planning and rules manager in August.
As part of the comments on the draft Environmental Impact Report,
the AQMD letter said the project would raise the cancer risk in the
area and the air quality analysis of carbon monoxide and airborne
particulates was incomplete.
Alhambra Councilwoman Barbara
Messina, the lead advocate for the tunnel project, said the AQMD
overstepped its authority. She pointed the finger at Cacciotti, saying
he “uses his position on the AQMD board irresponsibly.” She said the
AQMD’s comments on the 710 tunnel is one of the reasons she’s supporting
Ly, who favors building the 710 tunnel.
Cacciotti said he had nothing to do with the AQMD letter. He said
staff are routinely asked to give their scientific opinion on how a
project may affect air quality.
“I never saw the letter until after it was sent out,” he said.
Ly,
31, said his pro-710 tunnel stance is just part of the reason why he’s
running for the AQMD eastern cities seat. He also wants to see more
representatives on the AQMD from areas of low- and middle-income
populations.
“This is about the 710, as well as the diversity of
the board,” Ly said. If elected by the mayors of 34 cities, he would
work for clean fuels and more bike lanes, things he has always
supported. He said on those issues, he is in sync with Cacciotti.
Sierra Club activist David Czamanske of South Pasadena said
business groups, including the Los Angeles County Business Federation
(BizFed), were lobbying to remove Cacciotti. BizFed CEO Tracy Rafter
said she did not send a letter to the mayors. The organization did
support Judy Mitchell, another AQMD board member, last year, she said.
“We pay attention to AQMD board stuff. We do encourage competition,” she
said.
Ly, who was a BizFed board member, said he would not be
surprised if business groups are supporting him. He was CEO of the San
Gabriel Valley Regional Chamber of Commerce from 2011 to 2013.
Los Angeles Mayor Eric Garcetti has asked mayors to support
Cacciotti. In an email to Alhambra Mayor Luis Ayala, Gail Koretz, the
mayor’s local government liaison, said Cacciotti was a “strong advocate for the environment”
and added: “With recent changes in the board’s composition, Mike’s
credentials as an environmentalist are important to our shared goals.”
The
meeting of the City Selection Committee of the Eastern Region of Los
Angeles County is open to the public. It is scheduled for 10 a.m.
Thursday at the Duarte Community Center, 1600 Huntington Drive. All San
Gabriel Valley cities are able to vote, plus San Fernando and Santa
Clarita.
A candidate needs a majority of votes and a majority of population from the 34 cities.
The U.S. Department of Transportation’s newly released fiscal 2017 budget
is about 70 pages long, but you need only look at the cover to catch
its drift. The lead image shows the pedestrian-friendly, tree-lined Long Street Bridge
in Columbus, Ohio, which reunited two neighborhoods separated in the
1960s by an interstate—a fate shared by so many urban districts. Lest
the point get lost, the $98 billion budget makes clear that future
transport policies must “reconnect” communities, where past ones
“divided” them.
The 2017 DOT budget may get laughed out of a
Republican-controlled Congress in this election year, but it
nevertheless outlines a bold national transportation policy with
American cities at its center. Unlike the recently passed FAST act,
which stayed true
to historical spending habits that favor highway expansion and worsen
congestion, the new budget does more than nod at real change. In that
sense it’s truer to the DOT’s 30-year “Beyond Traffic” vision that hopes to pivot away from car-first planning toward more mobility choices.
Some of the raw numbers: Public transit funding would nearly
double under this budget, from $11.8 billion in fiscal 2016 to just
short of $20 billion. TIGER grants that jumpstart so many metro area
projects would rise from $500 million to $1.25 billion. Specific capital
projects that gain mention for funding starts include L.A.’s westside
subway extension ($125 million), Honolulu’s driverless train corridor ($244 million), and Albuquerque’s gold-standard BRT project ($69 million). High-speed rail gets back on the federal wish list at $7 billion.
Among the plan’s boldest elements is its empowerment of
metropolitan planning organizations. MPOs currently craft the long-term
plans for urban regions but lack the direct funding might of state DOTs,
which often remain locked in a road-building mindset
left over from the interstate era. The new budget calls for MPOs to
receive billions in direct funding to make their own decisions—a
reasonable charge given that traffic and transport-related climate
impacts tend to emerge at a regional level as powerfully as the local one.
Driverless transport technology gets more than a wink, with a chief
expected result being safer city travel. The White House already
revealed its $4 billion plan for autonomous vehicle development and
large-scale testing, and the budget makes clear that this investment has
“better, faster, cleaner urban and corridor transportation networks” in
mind. Positive train control, the intercity train advance that would greatly reduce human errors like the one that caused the wreck of Amtrak’s Train 188, also gets nearly $200 million.
The plan is especially explicit when it comes to “Clean Transportation Plan Investments,” which together amount to some $320 billion
over 10 years. One sharp component would reward states that cut
greenhouse gas emissions—frowning on road expansions that increase
vehicle miles traveled, similar to the new policy
being developed in California. A clean communities program would help
cities and towns do things like expand bike and pedestrian networks and
reconnect “downtowns divided by freeways,” like Columbus.
The clean elements of the budget plan would be funded by the $10-a-barrel oil tax that the White House unveiled last week. It’s not a gas tax, per se, since it targets producers rather than consumers, but it might as well be,
since companies may pass on the fee to drivers—potentially adding 24
cents a gallon to gas prices. That seems like a big bump only in the
context of U.S. fuel costs that rank among the world’s lowest, and while middle-class families might feel the hit, they would also gain something in cleaner air, safer travel, and less-congested roads.
Still, the barrel tax was pronounced “dead on arrival,” and the 2017 DOT budget as a whole received a similar greeting from Speaker Paul Ryan, who called it “a progressive manual for growing the federal government at the expense of hard-working Americans,” according to The New York Times. Some divides still await their great bridge.
Last week, United States District Judge George Wu issued a ruling [PDF] in Beverly Hills’ legal battles against Metro’s plans to tunnel the Purple Line subway beneath Beverly Hills High School.
The Beverly Hills Courierportrayed
the ruling as a victory for Beverly Hills in that Judge Wu chided
subway proponents for “not properly considering the environmental
effects of running a tunnel through an area riddled with abandoned oil
wells and pockets of potentially explosive methane gas.”
Though the judge sided with Beverly Hills, agreeing that the subway
environmental studies did not fulfill all the requirements of the
National Environmental Protection Act (NEPA), the decision is more of a
split ruling with some of Beverly Hills’ winning points more
nitpicky than substantive.
There are a couple of lawsuits with multiple parties involved. The
plaintiffs include the city of Beverly Hills and the Beverly Hills
Unified School District. The defendants include Metro and the Federal
Transit Administration (FTA). For the purposes of this article, SBLA
simplifies the parties to “Beverly Hills” against “Metro.”
The ruling last week is in the federal court case; Metro won the state court case last year.
The lawsuit primarily centers on Beverly Hills’ criticism of
Metro’s decision to relocate the planned Century City stop from Santa
Monica Boulevard to Constellation Boulevard.
Metro studied numerous subway alignments, and ultimately
chose a route that places the Century City station at the intersection
of Constellation Boulevard and Avenue of the Stars. Though Constellation
and Santa Monica are one block apart, Metro found that Santa Monica
Boulevard would not work due to earthquake faults. The Constellation
alignment effectively necessitates tunneling under Beverly Hills High
School.
All in all, Beverly Hills raised nine issues where it asserted that
Metro’s environmental studies (Environmental Impact Statement – EIS)
failed to meet NEPA requirements. The court sided with Beverly Hills on
half of those issues. In effect, though, Beverly Hills effectively only
needs to prevail on one issue to find that Metro failed NEPA.
The conclusion of the 217-page ruling [PDF] reads:
The Court concludes that [Metro] failed its
disclosure/discussion obligations … in connection with [Beverly
Hills’] comments concerning the effects of tunneling through gassy
ground and the risk of explosions; that it failed its disclosure
obligations regarding incomplete information concerning seismic issues;
and that it should have issued [additional environmental studies]. The
Court also concludes that [Metro] failed to properly assess “use” of
[Beverly Hills] High School under [recreational land law] due to the
planned tunneling. In all other respects, the Court rules in favor of
[Metro].
Metro, via spokesperson Dave Sotero, issued a statement on the ruling:
After a thorough review, Metro concludes that Judge Wu’s
tentative rulings uphold the approved plans to build the Century City
subway station at Constellation and to tunnel safely beneath Beverly
Hills High School. Some of the findings are procedural, requiring the
FTA to perform additional environmental analysis and provide a further
opportunity for public comment. The majority of extensive environmental
work was deemed sound. If the ruling holds, Metro will support FTA in
meeting these additional procedural requirements. Time is of the
essence. Any significant delay resulting from this case could jeopardize
the timely delivery of this critically important transit project for
all L.A. County residents.
After the jump are summaries of the nine specific areas of dispute in
the lawsuit. Following those are possible next steps in the case.
1 – Air Quality and Public Health
Beverly Hills asserted that Metro’s construction-related emissions
air quality analysis was insufficient because the analysis did not
account for local air quality, only regional.
The judge issued a mixed ruling on this point. It found that Metro
“did not act in an arbitrary or capricious manner” considering air
quality impacts. But, in regards to public health, the judge sided with
Beverly Hills, asserting that Metro lacked “a more robust discussion of
public health impacts at least insofar as NOx [nitrogen oxides air
pollution] is concerned.”
2 – Methane Gas and Oil Wells
Beverly Hills contended that Metro did not sufficiently take into
account the potential explosive dangers of methane gases and oil wells.
Metro responded that underground gases and wells might be encountered,
but Metro tunneling technology allows the agency to be successful
getting through these safely.
The court responded that Metro analyzed oil well locations, and that
Metro can tunnel safely through areas with oil wells, but sided with
Beverly Hills that Metro had not “sufficiently crossed its t’s and
dotted its i’s” regarding documenting potential impacts.
3 – Alternative Routing
Beverly Hills argued that Metro failed to analyze any subway routes
to Constellation Station that would avoid tunneling under Beverly
Hills High School, even though Beverly Hills presented alternatives that
would do this. Metro cited a number of reasons why Beverly Hills’
alternatives were rejected, including that each would slow train speeds
due to “sharp curves through Century City.”
On this issue, the court sided with Metro echoing Metro’s
environmental studies: “[t]here is no reasonable tunnel alignment that
does not pass under structures within the school campus,” taking into
account the need “to achieve maximum safe train speeds between stations
(by minimizing curves and grade differentials).” From the ruling: “In
short, the Court concludes that [Metro] engaged in informed
decision-making with respect to the assessment of alternatives relating
to the approach to Constellation Station.”
4 – Predetermined Decision
Beverly Hills asserted that Metro showed favoritism using “the
environmental analysis to rationalize a decision that had already
been made.” Beverly Hills further accused Metro of making “a unilateral
secret change of plans” in 2010 to route the Purple Line via
Constellation Boulevard instead of Santa Monica Boulevard. Beverly Hills
asserted that Metro manipulated seismic and ridership data to bolster
its preordained choice. Metro responded that the Constellation vs. Santa
Monica decision was made because technical studies showed that “there
was no fault-free section along Santa Monica Boulevard that would be
large enough to accommodate a station.”
The court standard here is interesting: “permissible partiality” is
acceptable, but it can not get in the way of the project studies taking a
“hard look” at alternatives. The standard of proof is pretty high;
other cases where improper pre-determination was proved involved a
“binding commitment” where project proponents signed contracts in
advance of finishing environmental studies.
The judge called this “a very close question” stating “the analysis
certainly appears to have been slanted in one direction” but that the
slant was not bad enough to clearly be full-on improper
pre-determination. The ruling sided with Metro because there was no
evidence of “a binding commitment of any type involved here” despite
“evidence that a Constellation Station location was preferred early on
and that subsequent analysis favored that preference in ways that some
people and organizations found reason to criticize.”
5 – Seismic Risk
Beverly Hills disputed Metro’s seismic data criteria for routing the
subway under Constellation Boulevard instead of Santa Monica Boulevard.
Beverly Hills asserted that Metro’s seismic data was incomplete, and
criticized the agency for doing additional seismic studies after already
approving the Constellation route. Beverly Hills asserted that Metro
was not up front about uncertainties in its data. Metro asserted that
environmental studies do not need “to affirmatively present every
uncertainty.”
The court sided with Beverly Hills on this item. The court affirmed
Metro in saying that the agency’s seismic risk studies were “reasonably
thorough,” but stated that Metro failed to make “up-front disclosures of relevant shortcomings.”
6 – Re-opening Environmental Certification (NEPA)
Beverly Hills asserted that because Metro did additional seismic
studies after its environmental studies were approved, the agency should
have re-opened the NEPA process. According to Beverly Hills, instead
Metro “simply swept problems under the rug.”
The ruling sided with Beverly Hills on this, asserting that Metro should have issued additional environmental studies.
7 – Clean Air Act
Beverly Hills asserted that Metro only looked at Clean Air Act
requirements pertaining to subway operations, and did not analyze air
local air quality impacts for construction activities.
The court sided with Metro that its analysis was acceptable under the Clean Air Act.
8 – Public Land Usage
Federal law requires certain procedures be followed when a project
impacts a park or recreation area. Beverly Hills argued that tunneling
below (and constructing near) Reeves Park and Beverly Hills High School
would impact recreation. Metro argued that the tunnel is far enough
underground (and construction activity limited enough) that the project
does not impact recreation.
Though the ruling stated that construction and the tunneling “would
not substantially impair” recreation, the courts sided with Beverly
Hills, stating that Metro “failed in its obligation to perform a
sufficient … analysis concerning ‘use’ of the High School due to the
tunneling underneath it.”
9 – National Historic Preservation Act
The court sided with Metro on NEPA.
What happens next?
Beverly Hills’ lawsuit challenges the environmental clearance for the
entire 9-mile Purple Line subway extension – from Koreatown to
Westwood. The project is broken into three sections. In 2015, Metro began construction on the first section of subway extension.
The initial section costs $3 billion and extends 3.9 miles from
Koreatown to just inside the Beverly Hills border. That
initial extension is anticipated to open in 2023.
Beverly Hills’ primary lawsuit contentions concern section two, planned to tunnel below Beverly Hills, including Beverly Hills High
School. Section two is not under construction yet, but Metro has begun
preliminary investigation work, with utility relocation anticipated to
start soon.
Phase three will take the line from Century City to the VA Hospital in Westwood.
As of 2015, Metro expected section two to open around 2026 and phase
three to open around 2035. Metro CEO Phil Washington secured USDOT approval to expedite future subway phases, in part in support of connecting rail to UCLA in time for a potential 2024 Olympics.
Last week’s ruling is still preliminary. Both Metro and Beverly Hills
will soon respond to the judge’s preliminary document. Then on March 14
all parties are due back in court again. On that date, or soon after,
the ruling will be finalized.
A settlement appears unlikely. In an interview (minute 11) with Beverly Hills View last week, former County Supervisor Zev Yaroslavsky described earlier settlement attempts as “dead on arrival.”
If Beverly Hills and Metro are unable to come to terms, it is
unlikely but theoretically possible that the judge could order the halt
of the entire project, potentially including the initial section already
under construction. This would be a huge mess.
A more likely, less drastic ruling would be re-opening the NEPA
environmental review process, so Metro can “sufficiently cross its t’s
and dot its i’s” probably before section two construction gets underway.
Metro could appeal this ruling. Either a legal appeal or a re-opened
NEPA process could result in delaying future subway phases. This would
increase Metro’s project costs – both construction and legal – without
necessarily altering the subway alignment. While some in Beverly Hills
might see this potential outcome as a victory, it is not clear
that Metro would make any changes to the alignment already selected.
With public monies wasted on extended legal battles, instead of invested
in school and transportation improvements, ultimately it appears that
it will be the public that loses.
With the two sides far apart, maybe newer consensus-minded Metro
board members — perhaps L.A. County Supervisor Shiela Kuehl and L.A.
Mayor Eric Garcetti — could show leadership by reaching out to their
Beverly Hills colleagues and trying to find some kind of face-saving
middle ground.
After the March ruling, it should be clearer if the project will see any delays.
No sooner had the Times posted
the story than the transit-booster community lost their collective
shit. Various excuses were tossed about like so many used-up TAP cards –
Joe Linton has a very good summary of them here.
But
the dream of a hyper-urbanized L.A., where we all ride the train to our
skyscraper apartments and whisper sweet nothings to our sexy-sounding
smartphones – oh wait, that was Scarlett Johansson in Her– has never felt further away.
But not to worry. The Weekly is
here with 10 easy, if perhaps largely unrealistic and ridiculously
unpopular, solutions to ripping the steering wheels from Angelenos' cold, dead alive and well fingers.
10) Build a big rail network
Rail in L.A. doesn't really go anywhere. Unless you live by a rail stop
and are going someplace by a rail stop, it doesn't make much sense to
use it.
As we speak, Metro is building out this nascent system:
Expo Line will reach the sandy beaches of Santa Monica in May; the
Purple Line (aka the Subway Not-Really-to-the-Sea) extension is under
construction andso is the Crenshaw Line. But the Gold Line extension opens next month! I can't wait to ride to the Donut Man in Glendora!
That's
still a bit thin. So transit boosters are proposing yet another sales
tax hike, this one on the November ballot, to build more rail lines and
pay for more buses and who knows what else.
9) Make the damn thing faster Only
problem is, a lot of the trains aren't that great. Take the Expo Line.
It's slow. It takes at least 30 minutes to ride from Culver City to
downtown. When you factor in five minutes waiting for the train and
10-minute walks to and from your starting place and your actual
destination, you're looking at a commute that's pretty much comparable
to sitting in your car.
And why, again, did they build the Expo
Line at grade, where it has to stop for cars at traffic signals? Oh
right, to save money. Only problem is, that left Expo Line basically a
glorified bus line.
8) Add Wi-Fi Buses are pretty
nice these days – they're clean and air-conditioned! But maybe the
millennial set would be more likely to ride buses and trains if they
were given more amenities or could get some work done. Maybe it's time
Metro added wireless Internet.
7) Give us way more buses
About three-quarters of L.A.'s transit riders take the bus, not rail.
And yet bus service gets treated like the red-headed stepchild. Granted,
buses are slower and worse for the environment than trains. But the
nice thing is, they can go anywhere a car can. And Metro can shift bus
routes around, based on jobs and neighborhood demand. Since Google Maps
now shows transit data, it's never been easier for the casual rider to
find the right bus.
City planners get this, and part of L.A.'s controversial mobility plan is to add more bus-only lanes to the city streets.
6) Build more housing by rail — but make it crappier
Ever since Mayor Antonio Villaraigosa's days, L.A. has followed a
policy of "smart growth" — encouraging density without increasing
traffic by building tall buildings near transit stops. Only one problem:
That housing is new, and more desirable than some old stucco thing
that's falling apart. It tends to be expensive, and the people who move
into it can easily afford cars.
The median income for Metro ridersis
$15,918 — compared to the $55,909 median income citywide. Poor people,
unsurprisingly, make up the vast majority of transit riders in Los
Angeles.
5) Raise the tax on driving Here's a popular
proposal: Let's raise the gas tax. Or replace it with a tax on the
number of miles you drive. This would discourage driving, and you could
use the revenue to pay for roads and add more bus service.
4) Cut the price of bus and rail fares The Times pointed out that transit ridership started to fall when Metro raised fares and cut service. So maybe lower the fares.
Of course, someone has to pay for Metro's overhead and maintenance. The more you cut fares, the more taxpayers must pay.
But
maybe you decide poor people deserve access to this service. Maybe you
think that having more people on trains and buses is super-important and
you don't care if it costs. Or maybe you're just trolling readers and
throwing out counterintuitive ideas that no one likes!
3) Raise the price of parking Speaking of trolling...
No
but seriously. Whenever I go to downtown, I try to ride my bike or take
the bus. It's not because I care about the environment. It's because
parking in downtown Los Angeles is crazy expensive and hard to find.
There's
an idea out there that Angelenos loooooove cars and will never ride
buses or trains. But most people are rational. If they find something
that is faster or cheaper, they might start to use it — some of the
time. If it's both fast and cheap, they'll start to use it most of the
time.
The low cost of parking, while obviously good for
individuals, is bad for society in ways that I couldn't possibly cram
into this already bloated listicle, so I'll just direct you to this fantastic Los Angeles magazine piece on UCLA Professor Donald Shoup, author of The High Cost of Free Parking.
2) Embrace the newer meaning of ride-sharing The Times cited
the rise of Uber and Lyft as another possible reason fewer people ride
on L.A.'s trains and buses. Metro still seems to think ride-sharing is
what we do during our "first mile, last mile" — transit jargon for that
space between Metro transit stops and our houses or jobs.
The real
dream of transit boosters is to create a new class of Angelenos who
don't own cars — or, at least, a new class of couples who share a car.
Ride-sharing apps give the non–car owners a choice in addition to
buses, trains, cycling and, of course, walking.
1) Wait It's
not like traffic is getting better. Eventually, traffic may get so bad
that a 30-minute Expo Line slog seems like warp speed
.
Or maybe we'll run out of gas all of a sudden.
The
fact is, no one knows what the future will hold. Our birth rate is
rather low, although people still move here. With rents eating up as
much L.A. income as they do, more residents will surely consider going
carless.
But the vision of a transit-centric Los Angeles was always further away than the politicians made it seem
.
And
by the way, there's nothing wrong with fewer people using Metro. The
whole point of L.A.'s transit expansion was to offer an option. Yes,
transit needs revenue and political support, but we could all just
decide that we care about having the option of taking a bus or a train,
and we care about poor people being ableto get around. We're still gonna
drive most of the time, but I'm glad we have the train for that one
time of year I want to take mushrooms and go to Universal Studios, or
ride a bus to Pershing Square for a Bernie Sanders rally, or take the
train to the beach and pretend my phone sounds like Scarlett Johansson.
The White House released its 2017 budget [PDF] this morning, which includes more detail about the exciting but politically doomed transportation proposal President Obama outlined last
week. Obama’s plan doesn’t have a chance in the current Congress, but
it shows what national transportation policy centered on reducing
greenhouse gas emissions might look like.
If only candidate Obama had campaigned on this transportation plan in 2008.
Last week’s release sketched out a $10 per barrel tax on oil to fund a
$30 billion increase in annual transportation spending. The budget
gives us a closer look at what that $30 billion would fund.
In total, $20 billion of it would go toward programs to reduce GHG
emissions and give people better options to get around without
driving. Here are the details — keep in mind that with the GOP firmly in
control of Congress, this is more of an aspirational document than a
politically feasible spending plan.
Transit
The budget calls for an $8 billion increase in annual capital funds
for transit, bringing the total to about $20 billion. Of that, about $16
billion would be divvied up to metro regions by formula to support
maintenance and expansion projects, about 60 percent. Another $3.5
billion would boost competitive grant programs for expansion projects.
The budget recommends funding in FY 2017 for Los Angeles’s Westside
Subway, Southwest Light Rail in Minneapolis, Albuquerque Bus Rapid
Transit, and Honolulu commuter rail, among other projects.
Highways, Streets, and Land Use
Past Obama budgets have
called for large percentage increases for both highways and transit.
This one includes more “highway” spending — $7.5 billion annually — but
that would mainly go toward programs aimed at reducing greenhouse gas
emissions. A $5.5 billion program called “21st Century Regions,” for
instance, would bypass state DOTs, which are notorious for wasting
funding on highway boondoggles, and instead fund regional planning
agencies to build multi-modal projects and coordinate transportation and
land use.
Intercity Rail
Obama proposes a 268 percent increase in rail funding, devoting about
$6 billion a year to the nation’s intercity rail system. About $3.7
billion of that would be dedicated to system upgrades like fixing
major bottlenecks. The proposal would also include $700 million for the
Northeast Corridor, the most heavily-traveled route in the nation.
Freight
Obama calls for $1 billion a year for a new “multi-modal freight” program.
What It Means
With this budget proposal, Obama is laying out a long-term vision.
Whatever he put out would have gotten shot down by Congressional
Republicans, so why not aim high? The whole budget is loaded with
political moon shots like increasing the minimum wage and tripling the
child care credit for working families.
However, as a statement of goals and principles, Obama’s budget has
value. The ideas will go nowhere this session, but they could gain
momentum at some point in the future.
America doesn’t have much of a national transportation policy besides
distributing money by formula to states and transit agencies. The
Obama proposal would establish some unambiguous goals, like responding
to the threat of climate change.
Too little, too late? For this presidency, sure. But a future president could pick up these ideas and run with them.
Big Bertha, Seattle’s famous tunnel boring machine, is stuck
underground again. Bertha was running for just under a month following a
two year delay to fix a broken cutter head. And the machine has taken
to Twitter, as we imagine it can get lonely so far beneath the city.
Filling the SR 99 tunnel access pit.
A little over two weeks ago, a large sinkhole formed while Bertha was drilling the over-57-foot-diameter Highway 99 tunnel to replace the earthquake prone viaduct. No one knows exactly why it happened. Just earlier that day, a nearby Seattle Tunnel Partners (STP) barge tilted, offloading tunnel dirt into Elliot Bay and dismantling part of a dock.
The 15-foot-deep, 20-feet-wide, and 35-foot-long sinkhole was quickly filled with 250 cubic yards of concrete and sand.
But Bertha is still stuck. STP wants to start Bertha again, but the
Washington State Department of Transportation (WDOT) hasn’t given them
the necessary written permission to move forward yet. SDOT says they need more information.
But enough of the dismal facts and figures. And now, for something different:
The nonprofit blog Strong Towns interviewed @StuckBertha, Bertha’s unofficial Twitter account, in January. Enjoy some excerpts from their tongue-in-cheek conversation, below.
Report:
Closing the 710 Freeway gap would take years and cost billions :
<p>Any major modifications to the unfinished 710 Freeway, one of
Los Angeles County’s most persistent transportation controversies, would
cost billions of dollars and take years to complete, according to
environmental documents released Friday.</p> <p>In a <a
href="http://www.dot.ca.gov/dist07/resources/envdocs/docs/710study/draft_eir-eis">2,260-page
draft environmental report</a>, the California...</p>
Any major modifications to the unfinished
710 Freeway, one of Los Angeles County’s most persistent transportation
controversies, would cost billions of dollars and take years to
complete, according to environmental documents released Friday.
In
a 2,260-page draft environmental report, the California Department of
Transportation and the Los Angeles County Metropolitan Transportation
Authority examined four construction options they say could address the
congestion and health issues that stem from the 710’s abrupt ending on a
surface street in Alhambra. The freeway is a favored route for truckers
shuttling between the ports of Los Angeles and Long Beach and
distribution centers in central Los Angeles County.
"This area is widely considered to have an incomplete
transportation infrastructure," Metro spokesman Paul Gonzales told the
Los Angeles Times. "The way it affects the region is part of this study
-- what it means for traffic, what it means for mobility, what it means
for air pollution. We closely associate the 710 with a handful of
specific cities, but it’s connected to the whole region."
To
address the 4.5-mile gap through Alhambra and South Pasadena, the
agencies are considering a bus system, a light-rail line, a freeway
tunnel and a range of upgrades to the existing route, as well as the
required "no build" option.
Building an underground freeway would be the most
expensive option. Tunneling between the 10 Freeway and the nexus of the
210 and 134 freeways in Pasadena would cost between $3.1 billion and
$5.6 billion and would take about five years to complete, the report
said.
The
$5.6-billion freeway option calls for side-by-side, double-decker
tunnels to separate northbound and southbound traffic. The route would
feature a 4.9-mile tunnel and 1.4 miles of surface-level freeway.
The
$3.1-billion option calls for one double-decker freeway tunnel.
Northbound traffic would use the two lanes on the upper level, and
southbound traffic would use the lower level.
A 4.9-mile
tunnel would be the longest in California, and almost as long as
downtown Boston's 5.1-mile Big Dig tunnel. Under either option, drivers
could be charged a toll and trucks could be barred from the tunnels, the
report said.
A
12-mile rapid bus route would link Huntington Drive in San Marino to
Whittier Boulevard in Montebello, according to the environmental
analysis. Buses would have some dedicated lanes, and could run every 10
minutes during peak hours. Adding the bus routes would cost $241 million
and take about two years.
A 7.5-mile light-rail line would cost
$2.4 billion and would add seven stops to Los Angeles County’s growing
rail system, the report said, connecting the Gold Line’s Fillmore
Station in Pasadena with the East L.A. Civic Center stop. The route
would run underground through Pasadena and South Pasadena, then run on
elevated tracks through Monterey Park and East Los Angeles. Construction
would take about six years.
The cheapest option would be to
make the existing freeways and roads more efficient without major
construction, the report says. That could include meters for
on-ramps, synchronized traffic signals, and lanes that change direction
during peak hours. Those options would cost about $105 million and take
two years to complete, the report said.
Caltrans and Metro are
accepting comments from the public until July 6. The Metro board of
directors will choose a final option for the project sometime in
2016, Gonzales said.
The 710 project has $780 million in funding
through Measure R, the half-cent sales tax for transportation projects
that county voters approved in 2008. Selecting a light-rail or tunnel
option would require that Metro seek additional federal, state or local
funds.
Last week the Los Angeles Times ran a story,
by Laura Nelson and Dan Weikel, about how transit ridership has
declined in Southern California at the same time that large investments
have been made in public transit, mostly in the rail system. The article
led with the fact that Metro’s boardings declined 10 percent between
2006 and 2015, notwithstanding billions of dollars of capital
expenditures, and that Metro had also experienced long-term declines in
ridership, going back to when L.A. transit ridership peaked in 1985.
Then the Times ran something of a counter piece, an op-ed by Ethan Elkind,
a researcher and writer on environmental law and policy. Elkind
explained some of the reasons for the recent decline in ridership,
argued that the long-term decline is not as bad as the article made it
seem because of the starting date the authors chose to compare to (more
on that below), and why the future should not be so bleak for transit in
the region, once the rail lines and extensions those billions are
paying for have opened.
Transportation issues are complex, involving at the micro level
decisions that individuals make balancing myriad tiny factors and at the
macro level decisions that governments make balancing massive public
and private interests. To me, the Times story and the response
to it illustrate how people can ignore this complexity at the same time
that they fail to make obvious connections.
What about the 10 percent decline since 2006? Well, the article
answers that question, but you have to dig. Nelson and Weikel recount
the history that after a settlement with the Bus Riders Union in the
1990s Metro added more than one million hours of bus service; as a
result, ridership soared, reaching 492 million boardings in 2006 (very
nearly the 1985 peak). Then what happened? Well, it’s right there in the
article: the Great Recession hit, ridership which had been rapidly
increasing leveled off, and then between 2009 and 2011 Metro reduced bus
service by 900,000 hours. Hardly a shock, but there will be a
correlation between reducing service and losing riders.
There are, of course, many factors that affect decisions that people
make about how to travel. In the 30 years since the 1985 peak in
ridership, many of the jobs that people once took transit to were moved
outside of the region’s inner, transit-served core to places like
Lancaster and the inland Empire (or, in the case of the garment
industry, to Asia). Immigrants, who, as the article points out, use
transit more frequently than non-immigrants, followed those jobs into
sprawl-ville. We also have fewer immigrants now than in 1985. Given
these trends, both demographic and geographic, it’s remarkable that
Metro has about the same ridership today that it had 30 years ago (and
don’t forget that 25% increase since 1995).
Reading the letters in today’s Times about the ridership
issue illustrates that no matter how complex a problem is you can always
try to reduce it to something you can express in a letter to the
editor.
The first letter is from Santa Monica’s own Bruce Feldman, who
presents himself as the classic Everyman, with “common sense,” in
contrast to “scholars like Ethan N. Elkind.” To Feldman, it’s clear:
Southern Californians “want real world steps that can be put into place
quickly.” He says that we should dramatically lower the cost of public
transportation, create more bus lanes and run buses every three to five
minutes to make transportation “even more convenient than cars.” “That’s
just common sense,” he says.
Hey, I agree. But does Feldman believe that anyone could accomplish those things quickly?
I mean, does he know, for instance, how many years it took to wrestle
the new bus lanes on Wilshire away from those Southern Californians of
his who drive cars? Does he known anything about the politics (and
federal financing) of fares? Does he know what buses cost?
Common sense is great, but does Feldman believe that he’s the first to think up this stuff?
Feldman concludes his letter with classic Amur’can
anti-intellectualism, saying that he’s “sure academics will have plenty
of theoretical reasons why I’m wrong.” I don’t think so! I
mean, I read a fair amount of academic literature in this field and I’ve
never read anything saying that lowering fares, increasing frequency,
and speeding up buses would not attract more riders. The problems are
not theoretical; they’re practical and political.
The second letter, wouldn’t you know it, comes from an academic, but
one who agrees with Feldman. (This only goes to show that if you’re
going to attack intellectuals be careful, because there’s going to be at
least one whose pointy-head points the way you want it to point.) The
letter, naturally, is from USC professor James E. Moore II, who has led a
personal crusade for many years against building rail in L.A. As Times
reporters often do, Nelson and Weikel quote Moore in their article,
this time to the effect that Metro has been driving ridership down by
spending on rail. (Maybe I mentioned this already, but since Metro began
opening new rail lines, ridership is up 25 percent.)
Moore’s point in today’s letter is that if you lower fares, you
increase ridership more effectively than by using the money to build
rail. Although everyone likes low transit fares, particularly for poor
people, around the world the cities that have the best and busiest
transit systems, including the best service for working-class and poor
people, are not cities where fares are cheap. And by the way, they
usually have lots of rail.
Time is money for everyone, especially for people without much money since they need every minute they have to make money.
If you treat your transportation system as an adjunct of the welfare
system, you’re not going to have a good transportation system serving
the people in the welfare system. (And nor will you have a system that
reduces traffic congestion by attracting the non-poor.)
Every few weeks during the academic year I take the Metro 534 bus
from downtown Santa Monica to Culver City, where I catch the Expo train
to meet my wife at USC (where she teaches). We do this so that we can
get some dinner and then hear a concert at Disney Hall or the Music
Center. Mind you, my wife has her car at USC and we drive back, but we
never regularly went to weeknight concerts before the Expo line opened,
because for me to get or USC or downtown L.A. on the freeway would be a
nightmare. I get on that 534 bus around 4:30 p.m. and it’s always
packed, usually standing room only, full of workers coming home from
jobs in Malibu and Pacific Palisades. We get on the freeway, and it
usually takes 50, 55 or even 60 minutes to get to the train in Culver,
where most of us passengers disembark.
When the train opens in Santa Monica in May, those passengers, our
transit-riding heroes, will be able to exit the bus and get on the train
here in Santa Monica, and a trip that now takes almost an hour to
Culver City will take 15 minutes, saving them up to 45 minutes in each
direction.
There are always questions about where you should slice data. The
rail fans online have thrown a fit over the LA Times decision to begin
in 1985, arguing that the numbers are misleading and that rail has been a
success since 1995 in bringing people back to the system. If you look
at the "ridership peak" graph (from the LA Times article), you’ll see
that ridership has grown since 1995, not declined. Is that the right
period to use to evaluate productivity? Or should we go all the way back
to 1980 figures, which would make our current ridership look better
than the 1985 beginning?
Source: Calculated by the author
It might be more helpful to use ridership per capita. During the time
period, LA County, which covers the most of Metro’s service area, also
grew in population. Probably the best way to suss the numbers is via
ridership per capita, which I have roughed out here. There has been
growth since 1995; in 1995, we had about 40 trips per year per person
living in LA County. in 2015, the number is up to 44 rides per person.
We’ve spent approximately $20 billion on capital improvements during the
entire time frame, and capital improvements are supposed to last. These
up-front costs are meant to attract riders years and years into the
future, long after the up-front costs have been paid.
It’s way beyond the scope of what I can write about in a blog post to
test that claim. We’d like to know exactly how much those 4 additional
trips per person cost us to get. But Metro as an agency has expanded
tremendously from the 1986 time period onward, with each successive
sales tax proposition that passes. Even since 2011, the agency’s budget
has gone from around $3.9 billion to $5.6 billion, but that includes
highway projects as well since the passage of Measure R.
So are the ridership numbers terrible? No, just…meh. Underwhelming,
even if we start with 1995. The market share numbers, for just about
every travel diary we run in Los Angeles, show that we aren’t moving the
dial much in the old transit-versus-auto choice even if we are getting
more trips. Trains cost quite a bit to build, just like everything in
California is expensive to build, and if the rail advocates want a
system, they have to convince other, less enthusiastic people that rail
investment is super-duper, way worth the taxes collected. The promises
can’t be small because the investments aren’t small, and as a result,
transit capital projects get sold with a lot of hoopity doo and fanfare.
We get promised the world with each new ballot box measure and list of
investments. These are meant to clean up the environment! Make us thin!
Clear up congestion! Whee!
And then, another train line opens, but it’s not world-changing. It’s
nice, and useful to people who have access to it. Some new riders hop
on, and some existing riders get somewhat better service. Traffic
doesn’t get better, really; it only gets worse more slowly, and that’s
the boring reality of most investment. The overpromise of budgetary
politics often mismatches the slow ground game of incremental change in
mobility services and urban environments.
Nonetheless, Angelenos have voted to support Metro and its activities
in 3 out of 7 times out of the chute. They can be convinced to support
the spending, and voters—and their representatives on the Metro
Board—appear to support the system expansions. It’s hard for me to argue
with democratic preferences.
In terms of alternative policy or planning solutions, we need to do
much better with land use and station-area development. First of all, I
think Metro is prevented by state law from acquiring land near stations
except for Metro's immediate operational uses, and that means they are
not allowed to buy up land for joint development. That’s a dumb rule,
for Metro and for some real estate submarkets, because Metro is in a
better position to take on land development risk than private developers
in certain parts of the region.
Secondly, I think the Federal Transit Administration (FTA) needs to
start getting tougher with its allocations for new starts. FTA should
refuse to fund projects where the local city has not already increased
allowed zoning densities and granted approvals around the proposed
station areas. As it is, we have people who are demanding, and getting,
$100+ million rail investments to serve their single-family suburban
developments, and that’s no way to get good returns on capital
investments.
And we really need to stop cutting bus service. There is no way that
LA becomes a train-only market. The "last mile" problem is significant
in most markets, not just in LA, and the idea that we can build up our
trains and starve our buses simply dooms us to lose passengers because
LA’s geographically distributed employment means that most transit
commutes are likely to involve a modal transfer. If that transfer is
awful, transit loses that trip to another mode.
I do think Metro could do more with running specials and ‘ride free’
days and using specials to pique interest. For example, we are having a
free museum day this weekend. It could also be "free ride to free museum
day."
Metro also needs to do better in working with employers and with
other institutions. For instance, Metro did absolutely nothing when USC
discontinued its support for transit riders. Regardless of whether USC’s
transit subsidy program attracted many riders, it was a signaling and
leadership moment when USC axed its program. Metro’s leaders didn’t say
"boo" in response. The LA DOT didn’t say "boo." For all the prancing
around our Mayor and other state Democrats do about alternative
transportation, they did diddly to stand up to USC. When one of the
region’s largest employers kicks transit support to the curb, agencies
like Metro and the DOT, and our Mayor, need to show leadership, set the
tone, and say "Hey, wait a minute. We know this program costs you money,
but we’re trying to accomplish something here; we’re trying to build
transit as a way of life in this city. Why are you bugging out on us?"
That episode is so discouraging because it shows how much LA’s elected
leadership wants to dig into taxpayers’ pockets at sales tax time to
make sure the pretty trains get built, but how little real political
capital our politicians wield in helping riders ride the pretty trains
once they actually get built.
And finally, if Angelenos want transit to work, they have to do more
than just add a few pennies to their sales taxes and cut ribbons in
front of new trains. They have to get on the system and make it a part
of their lives. I don’t think it’s possible that transit can outcompete
the car until the auto environment gets really miserable, and LA is a
long way from that. People don’t have to give up their cars to make a
difference; taking transit a couple times a week, for lunch, to get to
work, to go on a weekend outing with the kids—those are small changes
that can bring people onto the system. If it is going to be a public
system, the public has to be on it. Taking transit is a virtue. It’s
good for the city. And it’s good for public life. And yeah, it’s
probably going to take extra time, you’ll have to walk a bit, and
chances are, you’ll associate with people you wouldn’t normally. Suck it
up and get on the buses and trains if you want better numbers here.
It’s on Metro, but it’s also on all of us, too, to make the system we’ve
been building into what it could be.
There
are always questions about where you should slice data. The rail fans
online have thrown a fit over the LA Times decision to begin in 1985,
arguing that the numbers are misleading and that rail has been a success
since 1995 in bringing people back to the system. If you look at the
"ridership peak" graph (from the LA Times article), you’ll see that
ridership has grown since 1995, not declined. Is that the right period
to use to evaluate productivity? Or should we go all the way back to
1980 figures, which would make our current ridership look better than
the 1985 beginning?
Source: Calculated by the author
It might be more helpful to use ridership per capita. During the time
period, LA County, which covers the most of Metro’s service area, also
grew in population. Probably the best way to suss the numbers is via
ridership per capita, which I have roughed out here. There has been
growth since 1995; in 1995, we had about 40 trips per year per person
living in LA County. in 2015, the number is up to 44 rides per person.
We’ve spent approximately $20 billion on capital improvements during the
entire time frame, and capital improvements are supposed to last. These
up-front costs are meant to attract riders years and years into the
future, long after the up-front costs have been paid.
It’s way beyond the scope of what I can write about in a blog post to
test that claim. We’d like to know exactly how much those 4 additional
trips per person cost us to get. But Metro as an agency has expanded
tremendously from the 1986 time period onward, with each successive
sales tax proposition that passes. Even since 2011, the agency’s budget
has gone from around $3.9 billion to $5.6 billion, but that includes
highway projects as well since the passage of Measure R.
So are the ridership numbers terrible? No, just…meh. Underwhelming,
even if we start with 1995. The market share numbers, for just about
every travel diary we run in Los Angeles, show that we aren’t moving the
dial much in the old transit-versus-auto choice even if we are getting
more trips. Trains cost quite a bit to build, just like everything in
California is expensive to build, and if the rail advocates want a
system, they have to convince other, less enthusiastic people that rail
investment is super-duper, way worth the taxes collected. The promises
can’t be small because the investments aren’t small, and as a result,
transit capital projects get sold with a lot of hoopity doo and fanfare.
We get promised the world with each new ballot box measure and list of
investments. These are meant to clean up the environment! Make us thin!
Clear up congestion! Whee!
And then, another train line opens, but it’s not world-changing. It’s
nice, and useful to people who have access to it. Some new riders hop
on, and some existing riders get somewhat better service. Traffic
doesn’t get better, really; it only gets worse more slowly, and that’s
the boring reality of most investment. The overpromise of budgetary
politics often mismatches the slow ground game of incremental change in
mobility services and urban environments.
Nonetheless, Angelenos have voted to support Metro and its activities
in 3 out of 7 times out of the chute. They can be convinced to support
the spending, and voters—and their representatives on the Metro
Board—appear to support the system expansions. It’s hard for me to argue
with democratic preferences.
In terms of alternative policy or planning solutions, we need to do
much better with land use and station-area development. First of all, I
think Metro is prevented by state law from acquiring land near stations
except for Metro's immediate operational uses, and that means they are
not allowed to buy up land for joint development. That’s a dumb rule,
for Metro and for some real estate submarkets, because Metro is in a
better position to take on land development risk than private developers
in certain parts of the region.
Secondly, I think the Federal Transit Administration (FTA) needs to
start getting tougher with its allocations for new starts. FTA should
refuse to fund projects where the local city has not already increased
allowed zoning densities and granted approvals around the proposed
station areas. As it is, we have people who are demanding, and getting,
$100+ million rail investments to serve their single-family suburban
developments, and that’s no way to get good returns on capital
investments.
And we really need to stop cutting bus service. There is no way that
LA becomes a train-only market. The "last mile" problem is significant
in most markets, not just in LA, and the idea that we can build up our
trains and starve our buses simply dooms us to lose passengers because
LA’s geographically distributed employment means that most transit
commutes are likely to involve a modal transfer. If that transfer is
awful, transit loses that trip to another mode.
I do think Metro could do more with running specials and ‘ride free’
days and using specials to pique interest. For example, we are having a
free museum day this weekend. It could also be "free ride to free museum
day."
Metro also needs to do better in working with employers and with
other institutions. For instance, Metro did absolutely nothing when USC
discontinued its support for transit riders. Regardless of whether USC’s
transit subsidy program attracted many riders, it was a signaling and
leadership moment when USC axed its program. Metro’s leaders didn’t say
"boo" in response. The LA DOT didn’t say "boo." For all the prancing
around our Mayor and other state Democrats do about alternative
transportation, they did diddly to stand up to USC. When one of the
region’s largest employers kicks transit support to the curb, agencies
like Metro and the DOT, and our Mayor, need to show leadership, set the
tone, and say "Hey, wait a minute. We know this program costs you money,
but we’re trying to accomplish something here; we’re trying to build
transit as a way of life in this city. Why are you bugging out on us?"
That episode is so discouraging because it shows how much LA’s elected
leadership wants to dig into taxpayers’ pockets at sales tax time to
make sure the pretty trains get built, but how little real political
capital our politicians wield in helping riders ride the pretty trains
once they actually get built.
And finally, if Angelenos want transit to work, they have to do more
than just add a few pennies to their sales taxes and cut ribbons in
front of new trains. They have to get on the system and make it a part
of their lives. I don’t think it’s possible that transit can outcompete
the car until the auto environment gets really miserable, and LA is a
long way from that. People don’t have to give up their cars to make a
difference; taking transit a couple times a week, for lunch, to get to
work, to go on a weekend outing with the kids—those are small changes
that can bring people onto the system. If it is going to be a public
system, the public has to be on it. Taking transit is a virtue. It’s
good for the city. And it’s good for public life. And yeah, it’s
probably going to take extra time, you’ll have to walk a bit, and
chances are, you’ll associate with people you wouldn’t normally. Suck it
up and get on the buses and trains if you want better numbers here.
It’s on Metro, but it’s also on all of us, too, to make the system we’ve
been building into what it could be.
- See more at: https://www.metrans.org/blog/we-need-make-transit-part-our-lives#sthash.LoRTdtP6.dpuf